Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2019-12-29, Madison Square Garden were:
Plasma (12, 9.5 shows)
Tweezer (12, 6.2 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (10, 6.7 shows)
46 Days (9, 5 shows)
Sand (9, 4.8 shows)
Mercury (9, 10.2 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (9, 5 shows)
Blaze On (9, 5 shows)
Twist (9, 5.8 shows)
Bathtub Gin (8, 5.7 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (8, 5.8 shows)
More (8, 7.6 shows)
Steam (8, 8.3 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (8, 6.2 shows)
Harry Hood (8, 5.1 shows)
Mike's Song (7, 7.4 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (7, 6.2 shows)
Light (7, 7.8 shows)
Funky Bitch (7, 11.6 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (7, 8.9 shows)
The Moma Dance (7, 5.3 shows)
Death Don't Hurt Very Long (7, 24.2 shows)
Ruby Waves (7, 7.2 shows)
Waste (7, 10.6 shows)
About to Run (6, 10.2 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (6, 7.6 shows)
What's the Use? (6, 9.5 shows)
Fuego (6, 7.4 shows)
First Tube (6, 6.3 shows)
Simple (6, 7.6 shows)
Saw It Again (6, 17.7 shows)
Undermind (6, 13.3 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 7.6 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (6, 11.6 shows)
Turtle in the Clouds (6, 16.6 shows)
We Are Come to Outlive Our Brains (6, 33.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 38% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.