Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2019-12-28, Madison Square Garden were:
Tweezer (14, 6.1 shows)
Plasma (12, 9.5 shows)
46 Days (10, 4.9 shows)
Blaze On (10, 4.9 shows)
Everything's Right (10, 5 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (10, 6.1 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (10, 6.7 shows)
Twist (9, 5.8 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (9, 5 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (9, 7.2 shows)
Sand (9, 4.9 shows)
Ghost (9, 4.8 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (9, 5.7 shows)
Tube (9, 5.7 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (9, 6.1 shows)
Character Zero (8, 5.8 shows)
Harry Hood (8, 5.1 shows)
More (8, 7.6 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (8, 6.1 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (8, 5.8 shows)
Free (8, 5.2 shows)
Bathtub Gin (8, 5.7 shows)
Steam (8, 8.3 shows)
Mike's Song (7, 7.4 shows)
Down with Disease (7, 6.1 shows)
First Tube (7, 6.2 shows)
Light (7, 7.9 shows)
Turtle in the Clouds (7, 15.7 shows)
Funky Bitch (7, 11.6 shows)
Waste (7, 10.7 shows)
The Moma Dance (7, 5.3 shows)
Carini (7, 5.6 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (7, 5.8 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (7, 8.9 shows)
Ruby Waves (7, 7.2 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (6, 7.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 38% of the actual 24-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.