Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2019-02-21, Barceló Maya Beach were:
Ghost (9, 4.6 shows)
Fuego (9, 6.7 shows)
Free (8, 5.1 shows)
Possum (8, 5.7 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (8, 5.5 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (8, 6.6 shows)
Bathtub Gin (8, 5.4 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 7.4 shows)
Martian Monster (7, 11.7 shows)
The Wedge (7, 8.9 shows)
Walls of the Cave (6, 11.7 shows)
Soul Planet (6, 12.1 shows)
Piper (5, 6.9 shows)
Ocelot (5, 14.4 shows)
Julius (5, 15.2 shows)
Maze (5, 7.8 shows)
Roggae (5, 12.1 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (5, 9.8 shows)
Sparkle (5, 20.2 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (5, 7.6 shows)
Golden Age (5, 7.6 shows)
Miss You (4, 21.6 shows)
Back on the Train (4, 6.2 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (4, 12.6 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (4, 17.8 shows)
Meatstick (4, 18.9 shows)
Halley's Comet (4, 9.5 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (4, 12.1 shows)
Birds of a Feather (4, 11.2 shows)
Bug (4, 10.8 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 8.7 shows)
Runaway Jim (4, 9.8 shows)
Joy (4, 17.8 shows)
Reba (3, 8.9 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (3, 9.5 shows)
Party Time (3, 21.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 17% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.