Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2018-08-12, Merriweather Post Pavilion were:
No Men In No Man's Land (6, 5.2 shows)
Down with Disease (6, 5.5 shows)
555 (5, 10.5 shows)
Tube (5, 5.4 shows)
Roggae (5, 10.8 shows)
Harry Hood (5, 4.6 shows)
Possum (5, 5.3 shows)
Light (5, 6.7 shows)
Simple (5, 7.1 shows)
Bathtub Gin (5, 5.1 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (5, 6 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (5, 5.3 shows)
What's the Use? (5, 8.3 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (5, 4.6 shows)
Mike's Song (5, 6.5 shows)
Soul Planet (4, 12.1 shows)
Walls of the Cave (4, 10.5 shows)
Twist (4, 5.3 shows)
Back on the Train (4, 5.9 shows)
Reba (4, 8.1 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (4, 5.5 shows)
Cavern (4, 8.3 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 9.5 shows)
Wilson (4, 8.7 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (3, 7.1 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (3, 15 shows)
I Always Wanted It This Way (3, 16.5 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (3, 16.5 shows)
Sparkle (3, 19.6 shows)
Piper (3, 6.7 shows)
First Tube (3, 5.9 shows)
Maze (3, 7.5 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (3, 5.6 shows)
Tweezer (3, 5.6 shows)
Prince Caspian (3, 8.3 shows)
Rise/Come Together (2, 18.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 61% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.