Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2018-07-22, Gorge Amphitheatre were:
Free (4, 5 shows)
Character Zero (4, 5.3 shows)
Steam (4, 7.6 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (4, 5.3 shows)
Carini (4, 5.2 shows)
Ghost (4, 4.5 shows)
Harry Hood (4, 4.7 shows)
Possum (4, 5.4 shows)
Julius (3, 13.5 shows)
The Moma Dance (3, 5.2 shows)
More (3, 7.1 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (3, 5.5 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (3, 9.6 shows)
46 Days (3, 4.7 shows)
First Tube (3, 6 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (2, 16.3 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (2, 40.6 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (2, 11.2 shows)
Destiny Unbound (2, 23.2 shows)
Heavy Things (2, 25 shows)
Stash (2, 7.1 shows)
Silent in the Morning (2, 25 shows)
The Lizards (2, 14.1 shows)
Alumni Blues (2, 54.2 shows)
Fluffhead (2, 8.6 shows)
Crazy Sometimes (2, 40.6 shows)
The Horse (2, 27.1 shows)
Maze (2, 7.6 shows)
Twist (2, 5.4 shows)
Wilson (2, 8.8 shows)
Waking Up Dead (2, 108.3 shows)
Leaves (2, 19.1 shows)
Your Pet Cat (2, 29.5 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (2, 7.2 shows)
You Sexy Thing (2, 81.3 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (2, 8.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 19% of the actual 16-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.