Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2017-07-30, Madison Square Garden were:
Down with Disease (10, 5.4 shows)
Fuego (10, 6.1 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (9, 5.3 shows)
Ghost (9, 4.4 shows)
46 Days (8, 4.7 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (8, 5.2 shows)
Twist (8, 5.3 shows)
Simple (7, 6.9 shows)
Stash (7, 6.9 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 6.7 shows)
555 (7, 9.6 shows)
Bathtub Gin (7, 5.3 shows)
Breath and Burning (7, 29.8 shows)
Piper (7, 6.6 shows)
Martian Monster (7, 9.9 shows)
The Moma Dance (7, 5.2 shows)
More (7, 6.9 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (7, 5.6 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 5.4 shows)
Tweezer (7, 5.7 shows)
Light (7, 6.5 shows)
Possum (7, 5.3 shows)
Your Pet Cat (6, 23.8 shows)
Roggae (6, 10.2 shows)
Wingsuit (6, 18.8 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (6, 5.6 shows)
Funky Bitch (6, 9.4 shows)
Lawn Boy (6, 17 shows)
Maze (6, 7.4 shows)
What's the Use? (6, 7.9 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (6, 6.6 shows)
Petrichor (6, 25.5 shows)
AC/DC Bag (5, 9.9 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (5, 9.2 shows)
The Wedge (5, 8.3 shows)
Birds of a Feather (5, 10.2 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 6% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.