Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2017-07-21, Madison Square Garden were:
Blaze On (10, 4.5 shows)
Fuego (10, 6 shows)
Harry Hood (10, 4.6 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (9, 5.2 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (8, 5.5 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (8, 5.2 shows)
Twist (8, 5.3 shows)
Ass Handed (8, 21.1 shows)
The Moma Dance (7, 5.1 shows)
Light (7, 6.5 shows)
Simple (7, 6.9 shows)
Martian Monster (7, 9.7 shows)
More (6, 6.9 shows)
What's the Use? (6, 8 shows)
Breath and Burning (6, 29.9 shows)
Wingsuit (6, 18.9 shows)
Petrichor (6, 25.6 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (6, 5.4 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 6.8 shows)
The Wedge (6, 8.2 shows)
Sand (6, 4.7 shows)
Tweezer (6, 5.7 shows)
Your Pet Cat (5, 23.9 shows)
Walls of the Cave (5, 10 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (5, 18.9 shows)
Loving Cup (5, 12.4 shows)
Halfway to the Moon (5, 16.3 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (4, 9.2 shows)
First Tube (4, 6.2 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 9.4 shows)
Mike's Song (4, 6.8 shows)
Rock and Roll (4, 18.9 shows)
Limb By Limb (4, 14.4 shows)
Back on the Train (4, 6.2 shows)
Heavy Things (4, 21.1 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (4, 8.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 32% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.