Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2016-12-31, Madison Square Garden were:
Character Zero (10, 5.5 shows)
555 (10, 9.4 shows)
Twist (10, 5.7 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (10, 5.4 shows)
Sand (10, 5 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (9, 6 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (9, 6.9 shows)
Carini (9, 5.5 shows)
Tube (9, 5.6 shows)
Ass Handed (8, 20.9 shows)
Maze (8, 7.9 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (8, 7.5 shows)
Breath and Burning (8, 22.2 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 5.8 shows)
The Wedge (7, 8.4 shows)
Piper (7, 7.1 shows)
Heavy Things (7, 19.8 shows)
The Line (7, 31.4 shows)
Sample in a Jar (7, 12.6 shows)
Walls of the Cave (7, 10.8 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (7, 8.8 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (6, 9.7 shows)
Divided Sky (6, 10.8 shows)
Horn (6, 19.8 shows)
Halley's Comet (6, 9.7 shows)
Limb By Limb (6, 14.5 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (6, 9.9 shows)
AC/DC Bag (6, 11.1 shows)
Back on the Train (6, 6.6 shows)
First Tube (6, 6.9 shows)
Birds of a Feather (6, 11.1 shows)
It's Ice (5, 19.8 shows)
Shine a Light (5, 29 shows)
Rift (5, 10.2 shows)
Miss You (5, 18.9 shows)
Space Oddity (5, 53.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 61% of the actual 28-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.