Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2016-10-31, MGM Grand Garden Arena were:
46 Days (12, 4.9 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (11, 5.5 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (11, 6.6 shows)
The Moma Dance (11, 5.4 shows)
Twist (10, 5.7 shows)
Bathtub Gin (10, 5.5 shows)
Mike's Song (10, 7 shows)
Sand (9, 5 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (9, 6.8 shows)
Tube (9, 5.6 shows)
Carini (9, 5.4 shows)
Breath and Burning (8, 22.4 shows)
Possum (8, 5.8 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (8, 7.5 shows)
Free (8, 5.3 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (8, 6 shows)
Sample in a Jar (8, 12.3 shows)
What's the Use? (7, 8.3 shows)
Ass Handed (7, 21.1 shows)
Back on the Train (7, 6.6 shows)
Halfway to the Moon (7, 14.6 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 5.8 shows)
The Line (7, 31.7 shows)
Julius (7, 12.7 shows)
Halley's Comet (6, 9.7 shows)
Divided Sky (6, 10.9 shows)
Rock and Roll (6, 20 shows)
First Tube (6, 6.9 shows)
Horn (6, 20 shows)
Rift (6, 10 shows)
Cities (6, 13.6 shows)
Farmhouse (6, 13.1 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (5, 8.6 shows)
Waiting All Night (5, 38 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (5, 18.1 shows)
Undermind (5, 12.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 45% of the actual 31-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.