Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2016-10-29, MGM Grand Garden Arena were:
Ghost (13, 4.5 shows)
Fuego (13, 5.9 shows)
46 Days (12, 4.8 shows)
Harry Hood (11, 4.9 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (11, 6.4 shows)
Down with Disease (10, 5.6 shows)
555 (10, 9 shows)
Twist (10, 5.5 shows)
Bathtub Gin (10, 5.3 shows)
Mike's Song (10, 6.8 shows)
Character Zero (10, 5.3 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (9, 6.6 shows)
Tube (9, 5.4 shows)
Carini (9, 5.3 shows)
Sand (9, 4.9 shows)
Sample in a Jar (8, 11.9 shows)
Possum (8, 5.6 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (8, 5.9 shows)
Stash (8, 7.1 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (8, 5.9 shows)
Free (8, 5.1 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 7 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (7, 8.4 shows)
Halfway to the Moon (7, 14.2 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 5.6 shows)
Heavy Things (7, 18.5 shows)
Wingsuit (7, 16 shows)
Back on the Train (7, 6.4 shows)
Tweezer (7, 6 shows)
Birds of a Feather (6, 10.5 shows)
First Tube (6, 6.7 shows)
Horn (6, 19.4 shows)
Farmhouse (6, 12.7 shows)
Halley's Comet (6, 9.5 shows)
Rift (6, 9.7 shows)
Waiting All Night (5, 36.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 25% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.