Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2016-10-28, MGM Grand Garden Arena were:
Ghost (13, 4.5 shows)
Blaze On (12, 4.6 shows)
Harry Hood (11, 4.9 shows)
555 (10, 9 shows)
Down with Disease (10, 5.6 shows)
Twist (10, 5.5 shows)
Light (9, 6.6 shows)
Tube (9, 5.4 shows)
Sand (9, 4.9 shows)
Carini (9, 5.3 shows)
Martian Monster (9, 9.2 shows)
Free (8, 5.1 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (8, 5.9 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (8, 5.9 shows)
Possum (8, 5.6 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (7, 8.4 shows)
The Wedge (7, 8 shows)
Walls of the Cave (7, 10.3 shows)
Tweezer (7, 6 shows)
Heavy Things (7, 18.5 shows)
Wingsuit (7, 16 shows)
Halfway to the Moon (7, 14.2 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 7 shows)
Back on the Train (7, 6.4 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 5.6 shows)
Farmhouse (6, 12.7 shows)
Horn (6, 19.4 shows)
Birds of a Feather (6, 10.5 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (6, 9.5 shows)
Halley's Comet (6, 9.5 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (5, 14.8 shows)
Yarmouth Road (5, 30.8 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (5, 9.5 shows)
Cavern (5, 8.2 shows)
Undermind (5, 11.9 shows)
Roggae (5, 10.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 33% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.