Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2016-10-19, Ascend Amphitheater were:
555 (10, 9 shows)
Harry Hood (10, 4.9 shows)
Light (9, 6.6 shows)
Down with Disease (9, 5.6 shows)
Bathtub Gin (9, 5.3 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (8, 5.2 shows)
Free (8, 5.1 shows)
Tube (8, 5.4 shows)
Sample in a Jar (7, 11.9 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (7, 5.9 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (7, 7.2 shows)
Heavy Things (7, 18.5 shows)
Simple (7, 6.8 shows)
Walls of the Cave (6, 10.3 shows)
Tweezer (6, 6 shows)
The Line (6, 30.8 shows)
Horn (6, 19.4 shows)
Halfway to the Moon (6, 14.2 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 7 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (6, 5.6 shows)
Farmhouse (6, 12.7 shows)
Birds of a Feather (5, 10.5 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (5, 8.4 shows)
Yarmouth Road (5, 30.8 shows)
First Tube (5, 6.7 shows)
Divided Sky (5, 10.5 shows)
Roggae (5, 10.3 shows)
Rock and Roll (5, 19.4 shows)
Rift (5, 9.7 shows)
Cities (5, 13.2 shows)
It's Ice (4, 19.4 shows)
Reba (4, 9.7 shows)
Wilson (4, 9.5 shows)
David Bowie (4, 10 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (4, 9.5 shows)
Waiting All Night (4, 36.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 47% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.