Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2016-10-18, Ascend Amphitheater were:
46 Days (9, 4.8 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (9, 4.7 shows)
Sample in a Jar (7, 11.9 shows)
Simple (7, 6.8 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (7, 5.9 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (7, 7.2 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (7, 5.9 shows)
Farmhouse (6, 12.7 shows)
The Line (6, 30.8 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (6, 5.6 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 7 shows)
Halfway to the Moon (6, 14.2 shows)
Breath and Burning (6, 21.7 shows)
Walls of the Cave (6, 10.3 shows)
Tweezer (6, 6 shows)
Yarmouth Road (5, 30.8 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (5, 8.4 shows)
Rock and Roll (5, 19.4 shows)
Rift (5, 9.7 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 9.5 shows)
Birds of a Feather (5, 10.5 shows)
Julius (5, 12.3 shows)
First Tube (5, 6.7 shows)
Divided Sky (5, 10.5 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (4, 14.8 shows)
David Bowie (4, 10 shows)
Wilson (4, 9.5 shows)
Reba (4, 9.7 shows)
Cavern (4, 8.2 shows)
Saw It Again (4, 15.4 shows)
Bug (4, 10.9 shows)
Lawn Boy (4, 15.4 shows)
Axilla (4, 20.5 shows)
AC/DC Bag (4, 10.9 shows)
Limb By Limb (4, 14.2 shows)
It's Ice (4, 19.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 43% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.