Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2016-07-08, Xfinity Center were:
Ghost (12, 4.4 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (11, 4.6 shows)
Down with Disease (11, 5.4 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (10, 5.3 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (10, 6.8 shows)
Waiting All Night (10, 23.2 shows)
Character Zero (10, 5.3 shows)
Free (10, 5.1 shows)
Bathtub Gin (10, 5.3 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (9, 5.5 shows)
Sand (8, 4.9 shows)
Halfway to the Moon (8, 13.1 shows)
Roggae (8, 9.6 shows)
Reba (8, 9.2 shows)
Farmhouse (8, 11.6 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (7, 13.6 shows)
Simple (7, 6.8 shows)
Maze (7, 7.4 shows)
Undermind (7, 10.9 shows)
Carini (7, 5.3 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 9 shows)
David Bowie (6, 9.9 shows)
Piper (6, 6.8 shows)
What's the Use? (6, 8 shows)
Limb By Limb (6, 13.1 shows)
Birds of a Feather (6, 10.1 shows)
Horn (6, 17.9 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 8.2 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (6, 6 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (5, 16.4 shows)
Cavern (5, 8.2 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (5, 14.6 shows)
Steam (5, 8 shows)
Cities (5, 13.1 shows)
Prince Caspian (5, 8.8 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (4, 9.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 32% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.