Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2016-07-06, Cross Insurance Arena were:
Blaze On (12, 4.4 shows)
Ghost (12, 4.4 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (11, 6.2 shows)
Down with Disease (11, 5.4 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (10, 6.8 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (10, 5.3 shows)
Mike's Song (10, 6.6 shows)
Tweezer (10, 5.8 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (9, 5.5 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (9, 5.6 shows)
Roggae (8, 9.6 shows)
Reba (8, 9.2 shows)
The Line (8, 21.9 shows)
Farmhouse (8, 11.6 shows)
Stash (7, 6.9 shows)
Undermind (7, 10.9 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 9 shows)
Maze (7, 7.4 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (7, 13.6 shows)
Simple (7, 6.8 shows)
Horn (6, 17.9 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (6, 8.4 shows)
Yarmouth Road (6, 26.3 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 8.2 shows)
What's the Use? (6, 8 shows)
Limb By Limb (6, 13.1 shows)
Piper (6, 6.8 shows)
Birds of a Feather (6, 10.1 shows)
Wingsuit (5, 15.2 shows)
First Tube (5, 6.7 shows)
Cavern (5, 8.2 shows)
Steam (5, 8 shows)
Devotion To a Dream (5, 56.3 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (5, 14.6 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (4, 9.6 shows)
How Many People Are You (4, 39.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 48% of the actual 25-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.