Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2016-01-15, Barceló Maya Beach were:
Ghost (10, 4.3 shows)
46 Days (10, 4.6 shows)
Waiting All Night (8, 22.5 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (8, 6 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (8, 4.6 shows)
555 (7, 8.3 shows)
Mike's Song (7, 6.4 shows)
Character Zero (7, 5.1 shows)
Free (7, 4.9 shows)
Bathtub Gin (7, 5.2 shows)
The Line (6, 21.3 shows)
Roggae (6, 9.4 shows)
Sample in a Jar (5, 10.9 shows)
Simple (5, 6.8 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 9 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (5, 9 shows)
First Tube (4, 6.5 shows)
Back on the Train (4, 6.3 shows)
Rock and Roll (4, 16.9 shows)
Devotion To a Dream (4, 50.6 shows)
Steam (4, 8.1 shows)
What's the Use? (4, 7.9 shows)
Mercury (3, 9.4 shows)
Waves (3, 18.4 shows)
Cities (3, 12.7 shows)
Golden Age (3, 7.8 shows)
Shade (3, 12.7 shows)
Prince Caspian (3, 8.6 shows)
The Dogs (3, 27 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (3, 15 shows)
Loving Cup (3, 12.3 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (3, 5.9 shows)
Scabbard (2, 202.5 shows)
Ya Mar (2, 15 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (2, 9.4 shows)
Poor Heart (2, 22.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 37% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.