Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2015-09-05, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
Harry Hood (11, 4.6 shows)
Free (10, 4.9 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (10, 4.6 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (8, 5.1 shows)
Birds of a Feather (8, 9.4 shows)
Sand (8, 4.8 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (8, 5.4 shows)
Piper (7, 6.6 shows)
Julius (7, 10.8 shows)
Roggae (7, 9.2 shows)
Back on the Train (7, 6.3 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (7, 8.1 shows)
Wingsuit (7, 13.6 shows)
Rift (6, 9.2 shows)
Devotion To a Dream (6, 42.1 shows)
Lawn Boy (6, 14 shows)
Farmhouse (6, 11.7 shows)
Heavy Things (6, 15.6 shows)
Simple (6, 6.8 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (6, 8.8 shows)
David Bowie (6, 9.2 shows)
Cavern (5, 8.3 shows)
First Tube (5, 6.7 shows)
Rock and Roll (5, 16.2 shows)
Ocelot (5, 11.7 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (5, 5.8 shows)
Carini (5, 5.3 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (5, 15 shows)
The Dogs (5, 23.4 shows)
Poor Heart (5, 20 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (5, 9.2 shows)
Scent of a Mule (4, 28.1 shows)
Steam (4, 8.3 shows)
Sugar Shack (4, 24.8 shows)
Winterqueen (4, 23.4 shows)
Axilla (4, 19.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 43% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.