Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2014-12-31, American Airlines Arena were:
Character Zero (12, 5 shows)
Down with Disease (11, 5.1 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (10, 7.6 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (10, 6.1 shows)
Devotion To a Dream (10, 24.9 shows)
Mike's Song (10, 6.2 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (10, 5.9 shows)
Rift (9, 8.6 shows)
Sparkle (9, 16 shows)
Cavern (9, 7.7 shows)
Carini (9, 5.3 shows)
The Wedge (9, 7.1 shows)
Winterqueen (8, 18.7 shows)
Julius (8, 10.2 shows)
Yarmouth Road (8, 18.7 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (8, 13.2 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (8, 8.3 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (7, 9 shows)
Stash (7, 6.7 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (6, 6 shows)
Maze (6, 7.3 shows)
Poor Heart (6, 17.9 shows)
First Tube (6, 6.8 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 9 shows)
Undermind (5, 10.7 shows)
Meatstick (5, 14.5 shows)
Prince Caspian (5, 8.6 shows)
Split Open and Melt (5, 9.1 shows)
Simple (5, 6.9 shows)
Silent in the Morning (4, 19.5 shows)
Funky Bitch (4, 10.7 shows)
AC/DC Bag (4, 10.9 shows)
The Squirming Coil (4, 13.2 shows)
Gumbo (4, 14 shows)
It's Ice (4, 17.9 shows)
Waves (4, 17.2 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 19% of the actual 31-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.