Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2014-11-02, MGM Grand Garden Arena were:
Chalk Dust Torture (12, 4.5 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (11, 7.5 shows)
Halfway to the Moon (11, 10.3 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (11, 5.9 shows)
Devotion To a Dream (11, 23.8 shows)
Mike's Song (11, 6.2 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (11, 6.1 shows)
Ocelot (10, 10.5 shows)
Cavern (10, 7.7 shows)
Rift (10, 8.5 shows)
Sparkle (10, 15.6 shows)
Carini (10, 5.3 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (9, 8.2 shows)
Bathtub Gin (9, 5.2 shows)
Piper (9, 6.5 shows)
Julius (9, 10 shows)
Stash (8, 6.6 shows)
David Bowie (8, 8.7 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (8, 8.9 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (8, 5.4 shows)
Winterqueen (8, 18.8 shows)
Wombat (7, 21.5 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (7, 11.9 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (6, 6 shows)
Simple (6, 6.8 shows)
Maze (6, 7.4 shows)
Poor Heart (6, 18.1 shows)
Gumbo (5, 13.7 shows)
It's Ice (5, 17.4 shows)
Prince Caspian (5, 8.7 shows)
Silent in the Morning (5, 18.8 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 9 shows)
AC/DC Bag (5, 10.8 shows)
Divided Sky (5, 10 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (5, 8.1 shows)
Runaway Jim (5, 10.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 58% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.