Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2014-10-25, Sleep Train Amphitheatre were:
Wingsuit (12, 10.9 shows)
Halfway to the Moon (12, 10 shows)
Devotion To a Dream (11, 22.9 shows)
Light (11, 5.9 shows)
Free (11, 4.9 shows)
Cavern (11, 7.6 shows)
The Moma Dance (11, 4.9 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (11, 5 shows)
Carini (10, 5.3 shows)
Sand (10, 4.8 shows)
Rift (10, 8.5 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (9, 5.3 shows)
Reba (8, 8.5 shows)
Simple (7, 6.8 shows)
Lawn Boy (7, 12.7 shows)
First Tube (6, 6.8 shows)
Sing Monica (6, 57.3 shows)
Maze (6, 7.4 shows)
Halley's Comet (6, 8.8 shows)
Poor Heart (6, 17.6 shows)
Roggae (6, 9.3 shows)
Wilson (5, 9.5 shows)
Meatstick (5, 14.3 shows)
Fluffhead (5, 10.4 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (5, 8 shows)
Gumbo (4, 13.9 shows)
Funky Bitch (4, 10.7 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 8.8 shows)
Golden Age (4, 8 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (4, 12.4 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (4, 12.7 shows)
Sugar Shack (4, 22.9 shows)
The Squirming Coil (4, 13.5 shows)
AC/DC Bag (4, 10.9 shows)
Mound (3, 38.2 shows)
Nellie Kane (3, 30.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 59% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.