Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2013-08-05, Hollywood Bowl were:
Run Like an Antelope (14, 5.6 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (13, 4.3 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (12, 6.7 shows)
Ocelot (12, 8.4 shows)
The Moma Dance (12, 4.6 shows)
Character Zero (11, 4.7 shows)
Bathtub Gin (10, 5 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (10, 5.2 shows)
Funky Bitch (10, 9 shows)
Tweezer (10, 5.3 shows)
Twist (10, 4.8 shows)
Cavern (9, 6.9 shows)
Rift (9, 7.7 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (9, 4.8 shows)
Julius (9, 8.9 shows)
Piper (9, 6.1 shows)
Birds of a Feather (9, 7.7 shows)
Golden Age (8, 7.3 shows)
Tube (8, 5.3 shows)
46 Days (8, 4.4 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (8, 7.7 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (8, 14.9 shows)
Cities (7, 12 shows)
Roses Are Free (7, 25.3 shows)
Back on the Train (7, 5.9 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (7, 19.5 shows)
Stash (7, 6.4 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (6, 12 shows)
Ghost (6, 4.4 shows)
Loving Cup (6, 11.8 shows)
Nellie Kane (5, 24.1 shows)
Limb By Limb (5, 11.8 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (5, 12 shows)
Lawn Boy (5, 11.8 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (5, 9.5 shows)
Walk Away (4, 33.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 60% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.