Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2013-08-04, Bill Graham Civic Auditorium were:
The Moma Dance (12, 4.6 shows)
Character Zero (11, 4.7 shows)
Bathtub Gin (10, 5 shows)
Light (10, 5.6 shows)
Funky Bitch (10, 9 shows)
Piper (9, 6.1 shows)
Rift (9, 7.7 shows)
Cavern (9, 6.9 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (9, 4.8 shows)
Birds of a Feather (9, 7.7 shows)
Wilson (8, 8.7 shows)
Golden Age (8, 7.3 shows)
Tube (8, 5.3 shows)
46 Days (8, 4.4 shows)
David Bowie (8, 7.8 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (8, 14.9 shows)
Silent in the Morning (7, 14.5 shows)
Roses Are Free (7, 25.3 shows)
Runaway Jim (7, 9.7 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (7, 19.5 shows)
Cities (7, 12 shows)
Halley's Comet (6, 8.3 shows)
Loving Cup (6, 11.8 shows)
Ghost (6, 4.4 shows)
The Wedge (6, 6.8 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 7.8 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (6, 12 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (5, 9.5 shows)
Nellie Kane (5, 24.1 shows)
Limb By Limb (5, 11.8 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (5, 12 shows)
Carini (5, 5.3 shows)
Meatstick (4, 13 shows)
Split Open and Melt (4, 9 shows)
Show of Life (4, 33.7 shows)
Walk Away (4, 33.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 42% of the actual 24-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.