Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2012-08-22, Starlight Theatre were:
Julius (10, 8.1 shows)
Harry Hood (9, 4.3 shows)
Bathtub Gin (9, 4.9 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (9, 6.4 shows)
Ghost (8, 4.4 shows)
Rock and Roll (8, 12.1 shows)
Rift (8, 7.2 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (8, 7.4 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (6, 44.5 shows)
Stash (6, 6.4 shows)
Quinn the Eskimo (The Mighty Quinn) (6, 31.4 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (5, 17.8 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (5, 7.6 shows)
Limb By Limb (5, 11.4 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (5, 10.5 shows)
Scent of a Mule (5, 21.4 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (5, 11.6 shows)
Cities (5, 11.6 shows)
Gumbo (5, 12.4 shows)
Alaska (5, 25.4 shows)
The Wedge (5, 6.8 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 8.3 shows)
The Squirming Coil (4, 13 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (4, 17.8 shows)
Heavy Things (4, 13 shows)
The Sloth (4, 33.4 shows)
Steam (3, 8.8 shows)
Lawn Boy (3, 11.6 shows)
My Soul (3, 17.2 shows)
Divided Sky (3, 9.4 shows)
Torn and Frayed (3, 89 shows)
Sleeping Monkey (3, 24.3 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (3, 16.7 shows)
Guyute (3, 29.7 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (3, 15.7 shows)
Sparkle (2, 15.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 36% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.