Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2012-08-19, Bill Graham Civic Auditorium were:
Light (8, 5.5 shows)
Axilla (8, 14.1 shows)
Back on the Train (7, 5.7 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (7, 5.1 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (6, 44.5 shows)
Free (6, 4.8 shows)
David Bowie (6, 7.5 shows)
Alaska (5, 25.4 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (5, 13.7 shows)
Gumbo (5, 12.4 shows)
Scent of a Mule (5, 21.4 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (5, 10.5 shows)
The Wedge (5, 6.8 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (5, 11.6 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (4, 6.6 shows)
Bug (4, 10.3 shows)
Heavy Things (4, 13 shows)
The Squirming Coil (4, 13 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (4, 17.8 shows)
Sneakin' Sally Through the Alley (4, 19.8 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (4, 12.7 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 8.3 shows)
NICU (4, 12.1 shows)
The Sloth (4, 33.4 shows)
Rocky Top (3, 26.7 shows)
My Soul (3, 17.2 shows)
Party Time (3, 19.1 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (3, 16.7 shows)
Steam (3, 8.8 shows)
Sleeping Monkey (3, 24.3 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (3, 11.9 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (3, 7.9 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (3, 15.7 shows)
Lawn Boy (3, 11.6 shows)
Torn and Frayed (3, 89 shows)
Divided Sky (3, 9.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 70% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.