Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2012-08-24, Oak Mountain Amphitheatre were:
Possum (12, 4.8 shows)
Down with Disease (11, 4.7 shows)
Julius (10, 8.1 shows)
Twist (9, 4.6 shows)
Sand (9, 4.7 shows)
Sample in a Jar (8, 8.3 shows)
Rock and Roll (8, 12.1 shows)
Ghost (8, 4.4 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (8, 5.1 shows)
Roses Are Free (7, 20.5 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 8 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (6, 44.5 shows)
Quinn the Eskimo (The Mighty Quinn) (6, 31.4 shows)
The Wedge (5, 6.8 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (5, 11.6 shows)
AC/DC Bag (5, 9.2 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (5, 17.8 shows)
Limb By Limb (5, 11.4 shows)
Cities (5, 11.6 shows)
Gumbo (5, 12.4 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (5, 10.5 shows)
Scent of a Mule (5, 21.4 shows)
Alaska (5, 25.4 shows)
Birds of a Feather (5, 7.6 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (4, 9.5 shows)
First Tube (4, 6.9 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (4, 18.4 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (4, 11.9 shows)
Joy (4, 15.3 shows)
The Sloth (4, 33.4 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 8.3 shows)
The Squirming Coil (4, 13 shows)
Shine a Light (4, 26.7 shows)
Steam (3, 8.8 shows)
Divided Sky (3, 9.5 shows)
Sleeping Monkey (3, 24.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 58% of the actual 24-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.