Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2012-08-17, Bill Graham Civic Auditorium were:
Chalk Dust Torture (9, 4.1 shows)
Tube (8, 5.2 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (8, 5.3 shows)
Sand (8, 4.7 shows)
Character Zero (7, 4.7 shows)
Back on the Train (7, 5.7 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (7, 5.1 shows)
Tweezer (7, 5.2 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (7, 4.8 shows)
Carini (7, 5.2 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 5.1 shows)
Funky Bitch (7, 8.5 shows)
Halley's Comet (6, 8 shows)
Roses Are Free (6, 20.5 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (6, 44.5 shows)
Ocelot (6, 8.1 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (5, 10.5 shows)
Simple (5, 7.2 shows)
Runaway Jim (5, 9.4 shows)
Silent in the Morning (5, 13.4 shows)
Loving Cup (5, 10.9 shows)
Alaska (5, 25.4 shows)
The Wedge (5, 6.8 shows)
Fluffhead (5, 9.5 shows)
Bug (4, 10.3 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (4, 6.6 shows)
46 Days (4, 4.5 shows)
Heavy Things (4, 13 shows)
The Squirming Coil (4, 13 shows)
The Horse (4, 19.8 shows)
NICU (4, 12.1 shows)
Sneakin' Sally Through the Alley (4, 19.8 shows)
Show of Life (4, 28.1 shows)
Birds of a Feather (4, 7.6 shows)
The Sloth (4, 33.4 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (4, 17.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 43% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.