Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2012-08-15, Long Beach Arena were:
Julius (9, 8.1 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (8, 5 shows)
Character Zero (8, 4.7 shows)
Tweezer (8, 5.1 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (7, 4.7 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 5.1 shows)
Rock and Roll (7, 12.2 shows)
Halley's Comet (6, 8 shows)
Alaska (6, 24.3 shows)
Quinn the Eskimo (The Mighty Quinn) (5, 31.5 shows)
Show of Life (5, 26.8 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (5, 10.5 shows)
Simple (5, 7.2 shows)
Fluffhead (5, 9.6 shows)
Silent in the Morning (5, 13.4 shows)
The Wedge (5, 6.8 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (4, 15.3 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (4, 11.6 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (4, 12.7 shows)
First Tube (4, 6.9 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (4, 17.8 shows)
The Sloth (4, 33.4 shows)
Birds of a Feather (4, 7.6 shows)
The Horse (4, 19.8 shows)
Divided Sky (4, 9.2 shows)
The Squirming Coil (4, 13 shows)
46 Days (4, 4.5 shows)
NICU (4, 12.2 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (4, 6.6 shows)
Limb By Limb (4, 11.4 shows)
Bug (4, 10.3 shows)
Sleeping Monkey (3, 24.3 shows)
Joy (3, 14.9 shows)
Shine a Light (3, 26.8 shows)
Steam (3, 8.8 shows)
Rocky Top (3, 26.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 22% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.