Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2012-07-01, Alpine Valley Music Theatre were:
Julius (10, 7.8 shows)
Funky Bitch (10, 8.1 shows)
Light (9, 5.4 shows)
Axilla (8, 13.6 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (8, 5.1 shows)
Sample in a Jar (8, 8.2 shows)
Ghost (8, 4.3 shows)
Maze (7, 6.6 shows)
Roses Are Free (7, 19.4 shows)
Tube (6, 5.2 shows)
Free (6, 4.8 shows)
The Wedge (6, 6.7 shows)
Alaska (6, 23.7 shows)
Silent in the Morning (5, 13 shows)
Stash (5, 6.3 shows)
Loving Cup (5, 10.9 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (5, 12.4 shows)
Simple (5, 7.3 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (5, 6.6 shows)
Sneakin' Sally Through the Alley (4, 19.4 shows)
Gumbo (4, 12.1 shows)
Walls of the Cave (4, 9.2 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 7.7 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (4, 17.5 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (4, 13.3 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (4, 11.8 shows)
Party Time (4, 18.1 shows)
The Squirming Coil (4, 13 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (4, 11.3 shows)
Scent of a Mule (4, 20.9 shows)
Guyute (4, 27.2 shows)
46 Days (4, 4.5 shows)
Cities (4, 11.6 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (4, 7.7 shows)
The Horse (4, 18.8 shows)
Divided Sky (4, 9.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 35% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.