Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2012-06-30, Alpine Valley Music Theatre were:
Backwards Down the Number Line (12, 5.2 shows)
Julius (11, 7.7 shows)
Funky Bitch (10, 8.1 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (9, 6.3 shows)
Light (9, 5.4 shows)
Wilson (8, 7.9 shows)
Character Zero (8, 4.6 shows)
The Moma Dance (8, 4.5 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (8, 7.3 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (8, 5.1 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (8, 5.5 shows)
Harry Hood (8, 4.2 shows)
Ocelot (7, 7.8 shows)
Rock and Roll (7, 11.8 shows)
Maze (7, 6.6 shows)
Carini (6, 5.2 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 8.9 shows)
Stash (6, 6.3 shows)
Alaska (6, 23.7 shows)
Divided Sky (5, 9.2 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (5, 13 shows)
Cities (5, 11.4 shows)
Simple (5, 7.3 shows)
46 Days (5, 4.5 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (5, 12.4 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (5, 6.6 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (5, 11.1 shows)
Reba (4, 8.4 shows)
Heavy Things (4, 12.4 shows)
AC/DC Bag (4, 9.1 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (4, 11.4 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (4, 15.1 shows)
The Squirming Coil (4, 13 shows)
Party Time (4, 18.2 shows)
Lawn Boy (4, 11.4 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 7.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 56% of the actual 27-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.