Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2012-06-22, Riverbend Music Center were:
Funky Bitch (10, 7.9 shows)
The Moma Dance (8, 4.4 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (8, 7.3 shows)
Light (8, 5.4 shows)
Twist (7, 4.6 shows)
Piper (7, 5.8 shows)
Golden Age (7, 6.7 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (7, 4.7 shows)
Sand (7, 4.6 shows)
Ocelot (7, 7.8 shows)
Ghost (7, 4.3 shows)
The Wedge (6, 6.7 shows)
Show of Life (6, 23.7 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (5, 6.6 shows)
Loving Cup (5, 10.7 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (5, 11.1 shows)
Stash (5, 6.3 shows)
Carini (5, 5.2 shows)
David Bowie (5, 7.3 shows)
Alaska (5, 22.8 shows)
First Tube (4, 6.8 shows)
Rocky Top (4, 26 shows)
46 Days (4, 4.5 shows)
Lawn Boy (4, 11.4 shows)
The Horse (4, 18.2 shows)
Heavy Things (4, 12.4 shows)
Halley's Comet (4, 8 shows)
Sneakin' Sally Through the Alley (4, 19.5 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (4, 9.3 shows)
The Squirming Coil (4, 13 shows)
Steam (4, 8.5 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (4, 11.1 shows)
It's Ice (3, 15.6 shows)
Peaches en Regalia (3, 45.5 shows)
Joy (3, 14.4 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (3, 16.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 43% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.