Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2012-06-20, nTelos Pavilion were:
Funky Bitch (10, 7.9 shows)
Julius (9, 7.7 shows)
The Moma Dance (8, 4.4 shows)
Tweezer (8, 5 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (7, 4.9 shows)
Harry Hood (7, 4.2 shows)
Twist (7, 4.6 shows)
Piper (7, 5.8 shows)
Golden Age (7, 6.7 shows)
Ghost (7, 4.3 shows)
Rock and Roll (6, 11.9 shows)
The Wedge (6, 6.7 shows)
Show of Life (6, 23.7 shows)
Birds of a Feather (5, 7.5 shows)
Carini (5, 5.2 shows)
Loving Cup (5, 10.7 shows)
Alaska (5, 22.8 shows)
David Bowie (5, 7.3 shows)
Stash (5, 6.2 shows)
The Squirming Coil (4, 13 shows)
Heavy Things (4, 12.4 shows)
Sneakin' Sally Through the Alley (4, 19.5 shows)
46 Days (4, 4.5 shows)
Cities (4, 11.4 shows)
Divided Sky (4, 9.3 shows)
First Tube (4, 6.8 shows)
Free (4, 4.8 shows)
Steam (4, 8.5 shows)
Rocky Top (4, 26 shows)
It's Ice (3, 15.6 shows)
Guyute (3, 27.3 shows)
Poor Heart (3, 18.2 shows)
Camel Walk (3, 21.8 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (3, 7.7 shows)
AC/DC Bag (3, 9 shows)
Peaches en Regalia (3, 45.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 46% of the actual 24-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.