Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2012-06-19, nTelos Pavilion were:
Funky Bitch (10, 7.9 shows)
Cavern (10, 6.3 shows)
Julius (9, 7.7 shows)
The Moma Dance (8, 4.4 shows)
Tweezer (8, 5 shows)
Bathtub Gin (7, 4.8 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (7, 6.2 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (7, 4.9 shows)
Ghost (7, 4.3 shows)
Axilla (7, 13.3 shows)
Sample in a Jar (7, 8.1 shows)
Harry Hood (7, 4.2 shows)
Golden Age (7, 6.7 shows)
Rock and Roll (6, 11.9 shows)
Show of Life (6, 23.7 shows)
Rift (6, 7 shows)
Carini (5, 5.2 shows)
Alaska (5, 22.8 shows)
Maze (5, 6.7 shows)
Loving Cup (5, 10.7 shows)
Free (4, 4.8 shows)
Divided Sky (4, 9.3 shows)
Rocky Top (4, 26 shows)
Steam (4, 8.5 shows)
Guyute (3, 27.3 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (3, 11.9 shows)
Peaches en Regalia (3, 45.5 shows)
Poor Heart (3, 18.2 shows)
Party Time (3, 18.2 shows)
Scent of a Mule (3, 21 shows)
Joy (3, 14.4 shows)
AC/DC Bag (3, 9 shows)
Nellie Kane (3, 21.8 shows)
Limb By Limb (3, 10.9 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (3, 7.7 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (3, 7.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 35% of the actual 26-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.