Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2012-06-17, Bader Field were:
Ghost (7, 4.3 shows)
Bathtub Gin (7, 4.8 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (7, 6.2 shows)
Rift (6, 7 shows)
Roses Are Free (6, 18.9 shows)
Maze (5, 6.7 shows)
Loving Cup (5, 10.7 shows)
Divided Sky (4, 9.1 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (4, 14.4 shows)
Walls of the Cave (4, 9.1 shows)
Fluffhead (4, 9.1 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 8 shows)
Runaway Jim (4, 9 shows)
Quinn the Eskimo (The Mighty Quinn) (4, 28.8 shows)
Steam (4, 8.5 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (4, 13 shows)
Silent in the Morning (4, 12.7 shows)
Joy (3, 14.4 shows)
Reba (3, 8.3 shows)
Bug (3, 10.1 shows)
Poor Heart (3, 18.2 shows)
Scent of a Mule (3, 21 shows)
Party Time (3, 18.2 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (3, 12.2 shows)
Limb By Limb (3, 10.9 shows)
NICU (3, 12.2 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (3, 7.7 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (3, 11.9 shows)
Peaches en Regalia (3, 45.6 shows)
Nellie Kane (3, 21.9 shows)
Guyute (3, 27.4 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (3, 7.7 shows)
AC/DC Bag (3, 9 shows)
No Quarter (2, 28.8 shows)
Horn (2, 16.6 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (2, 16.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 57% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.