Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2012-06-16, Bader Field were:
Ghost (7, 4.3 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (7, 5.1 shows)
Rift (7, 6.9 shows)
Ocelot (6, 7.8 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (6, 4.6 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (6, 5 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (5, 11 shows)
Divided Sky (5, 8.9 shows)
Loving Cup (5, 10.6 shows)
Prince Caspian (5, 7.9 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (4, 14.2 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (4, 8.9 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (4, 10.6 shows)
Steam (4, 8.5 shows)
Halley's Comet (4, 7.9 shows)
Guyute (4, 26.3 shows)
Walls of the Cave (4, 8.9 shows)
AC/DC Bag (4, 8.6 shows)
Fluffhead (4, 8.9 shows)
Peaches en Regalia (4, 39.4 shows)
Quinn the Eskimo (The Mighty Quinn) (4, 29.1 shows)
Silent in the Morning (4, 12.8 shows)
Runaway Jim (4, 8.9 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (4, 12.5 shows)
Party Time (3, 18.4 shows)
Split Open and Melt (3, 8.6 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (3, 16.7 shows)
Limb By Limb (3, 11 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (3, 7.6 shows)
NICU (3, 12.3 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (3, 12 shows)
Poor Heart (3, 18.4 shows)
Bug (3, 10 shows)
The Horse (3, 18.4 shows)
Joy (3, 14.5 shows)
Lawn Boy (3, 11.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 48% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.