Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2012-06-15, Bader Field were:
Piper (7, 5.7 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (7, 4.6 shows)
Twist (7, 4.5 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (7, 5.1 shows)
The Wedge (6, 6.6 shows)
Back on the Train (6, 5.6 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (6, 5 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (6, 10.1 shows)
Tube (5, 5.2 shows)
Prince Caspian (5, 7.9 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (5, 11.1 shows)
David Bowie (5, 7.2 shows)
Divided Sky (5, 8.9 shows)
Steam (4, 8.5 shows)
Birds of a Feather (4, 7.4 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (4, 7.5 shows)
Sneakin' Sally Through the Alley (4, 17.8 shows)
Peaches en Regalia (4, 39.5 shows)
AC/DC Bag (4, 8.6 shows)
Guyute (4, 26.3 shows)
Halley's Comet (4, 7.9 shows)
46 Days (4, 4.4 shows)
Walls of the Cave (4, 8.9 shows)
Silent in the Morning (4, 12.9 shows)
Reba (4, 8 shows)
Scent of a Mule (4, 20.5 shows)
Fluffhead (4, 8.9 shows)
Stash (4, 6.2 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (4, 8.9 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (4, 10.6 shows)
First Tube (4, 6.6 shows)
NICU (4, 12 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (4, 14.2 shows)
Split Open and Melt (3, 8.6 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (3, 16.8 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (3, 16.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 52% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.