Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2011-12-29, Madison Square Garden were:
Run Like an Antelope (12, 5 shows)
David Bowie (10, 6.9 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (10, 5.3 shows)
Light (9, 5.2 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (9, 5.1 shows)
Sand (9, 4.5 shows)
Ocelot (9, 7.5 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (8, 9.8 shows)
Divided Sky (8, 8.7 shows)
Fluffhead (8, 8.5 shows)
Mike's Song (8, 5.2 shows)
Wilson (8, 7.6 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (8, 10.6 shows)
The Wedge (7, 6.6 shows)
Reba (7, 7.9 shows)
Axilla (7, 13 shows)
AC/DC Bag (7, 8.4 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (7, 7.4 shows)
Golden Age (6, 6.8 shows)
46 Days (6, 4.4 shows)
Meatstick (6, 11.7 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (6, 11.9 shows)
First Tube (6, 6.6 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 8.8 shows)
Show of Life (6, 22.8 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (6, 11.4 shows)
Mound (5, 22 shows)
Guyute (5, 24.8 shows)
Scent of a Mule (5, 19.7 shows)
Limb By Limb (5, 11 shows)
Prince Caspian (5, 8 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (5, 10.6 shows)
Sneakin' Sally Through the Alley (5, 17.3 shows)
Steam (5, 8.5 shows)
Quinn the Eskimo (The Mighty Quinn) (5, 26 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (4, 30.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 35% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.