Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2011-12-28, Madison Square Garden were:
David Bowie (10, 6.9 shows)
Sand (9, 4.5 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (9, 5.1 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (8, 10.6 shows)
Fluffhead (8, 8.5 shows)
Mike's Song (8, 5.2 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (8, 9.8 shows)
Wilson (8, 7.6 shows)
Reba (7, 7.9 shows)
AC/DC Bag (7, 8.4 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (7, 7.4 shows)
Cities (6, 10.6 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (6, 11.4 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (6, 11.9 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 8.8 shows)
First Tube (6, 6.6 shows)
Show of Life (6, 22.8 shows)
Free (6, 4.8 shows)
46 Days (6, 4.4 shows)
Meatstick (6, 11.7 shows)
Birds of a Feather (5, 7.4 shows)
Quinn the Eskimo (The Mighty Quinn) (5, 26 shows)
Guyute (5, 24.8 shows)
Stash (5, 6.3 shows)
Sneakin' Sally Through the Alley (5, 17.3 shows)
Scent of a Mule (5, 19.7 shows)
Steam (5, 8.5 shows)
Mound (5, 22 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (5, 8.9 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (5, 10.6 shows)
Prince Caspian (5, 8 shows)
Camel Walk (4, 21.1 shows)
Joy (4, 14.3 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (4, 30.1 shows)
Poor Heart (4, 18.4 shows)
Foam (4, 24.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 23% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.