Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2009-07-30, Red Rocks Amphitheatre were:
Harry Hood (6, 4 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (5, 4 shows)
Free (5, 4.8 shows)
Tube (4, 5.4 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (4, 8.6 shows)
The Squirming Coil (4, 11.1 shows)
David Bowie (4, 6.1 shows)
Wilson (4, 7.1 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (4, 4.9 shows)
Mike's Song (4, 5 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 7.3 shows)
Loving Cup (4, 9.3 shows)
Reba (4, 7.5 shows)
Heavy Things (3, 11.5 shows)
Alaska (3, 15.4 shows)
Halley's Comet (3, 7.6 shows)
Rock and Roll (3, 9.5 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (3, 14.4 shows)
First Tube (3, 6.6 shows)
A Day in the Life (3, 22.5 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (3, 6.6 shows)
Foam (3, 20.5 shows)
Gumbo (2, 11.9 shows)
Brian and Robert (2, 29.4 shows)
Cavern (2, 6 shows)
Horn (2, 15.7 shows)
Contact (2, 32.2 shows)
Birds of a Feather (2, 8.1 shows)
The Star-Spangled Banner (2, 75.1 shows)
Undermind (2, 11.1 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (2, 9.1 shows)
Scent of a Mule (2, 20.5 shows)
Seven Below (2, 19.9 shows)
I Didn't Know (2, 21.1 shows)
Army of One (2, 27 shows)
Rift (2, 7.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 35% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.