Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2009-07-31, Red Rocks Amphitheatre were:
Harry Hood (6, 4 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (5, 4 shows)
Free (5, 4.8 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (5, 6.3 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (5, 4.6 shows)
Tweezer (5, 4.7 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (5, 4.7 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (4, 8.2 shows)
Tube (4, 5.4 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (4, 8.6 shows)
AC/DC Bag (4, 7.6 shows)
Wilson (4, 7.1 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 7.3 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (4, 5.2 shows)
Reba (4, 7.5 shows)
Heavy Things (3, 11.5 shows)
Split Open and Melt (3, 8.8 shows)
Fluffhead (3, 7.6 shows)
Halley's Comet (3, 7.6 shows)
Twist (3, 5.1 shows)
First Tube (3, 6.6 shows)
Lawn Boy (3, 10.6 shows)
Rock and Roll (3, 9.5 shows)
A Day in the Life (3, 22.5 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (3, 6.6 shows)
Foam (3, 20.5 shows)
Water in the Sky (3, 17.8 shows)
Alaska (3, 15.4 shows)
Brian and Robert (2, 29.4 shows)
Birds of a Feather (2, 8.1 shows)
Seven Below (2, 19.9 shows)
Undermind (2, 11.1 shows)
Rift (2, 7.4 shows)
Contact (2, 32.2 shows)
I Didn't Know (2, 21.1 shows)
Army of One (2, 27 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 61% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.