Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2009-06-21, Alpine Valley Music Theatre were:
Mike's Song (4, 5 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (4, 4.9 shows)
Reba (4, 7.5 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (3, 10.9 shows)
Silent in the Morning (3, 11.5 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (3, 6.6 shows)
First Tube (3, 6.6 shows)
Back on the Train (3, 5.6 shows)
The Horse (3, 14.7 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (3, 5 shows)
Foam (3, 20.5 shows)
A Day in the Life (3, 22.5 shows)
Time Turns Elastic (3, 37.6 shows)
Halley's Comet (3, 7.6 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (3, 14.4 shows)
Rock and Roll (3, 9.5 shows)
Contact (2, 32.2 shows)
Birds of a Feather (2, 8.1 shows)
Rift (2, 7.4 shows)
Bug (2, 10.4 shows)
Poor Heart (2, 16.1 shows)
Cavern (2, 6 shows)
Horn (2, 15.7 shows)
Undermind (2, 11.1 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (2, 9.1 shows)
Scent of a Mule (2, 20.5 shows)
Light (2, 5.1 shows)
The Star-Spangled Banner (2, 75.1 shows)
Army of One (2, 27 shows)
Gumbo (2, 11.9 shows)
Frankenstein (2, 42.3 shows)
Seven Below (2, 19.9 shows)
Brian and Robert (2, 29.4 shows)
Taste (2, 14.7 shows)
While My Guitar Gently Weeps (2, 56.3 shows)
I Didn't Know (2, 21.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 45% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.