Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2009-06-16, The Fox Theatre were:
The Moma Dance (3, 4.5 shows)
Sample in a Jar (3, 7 shows)
Tube (3, 5.4 shows)
Ghost (3, 4.5 shows)
Loving Cup (3, 9.3 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (3, 7.3 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (3, 6.6 shows)
Taste (2, 14.7 shows)
Water in the Sky (2, 17.8 shows)
Waste (2, 12.8 shows)
Grind (2, 22.5 shows)
Split Open and Melt (2, 8.8 shows)
Heavy Things (2, 11.5 shows)
Gumbo (2, 11.9 shows)
Fluffhead (2, 7.6 shows)
Halley's Comet (2, 7.6 shows)
Time Turns Elastic (2, 37.6 shows)
Lawn Boy (2, 10.6 shows)
Piper (2, 5.5 shows)
Birds of a Feather (2, 8.1 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (2, 9.1 shows)
Scent of a Mule (2, 20.5 shows)
Bug (2, 10.4 shows)
Maze (2, 6.8 shows)
Contact (2, 32.2 shows)
I Didn't Know (2, 21.1 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (2, 5 shows)
Seven Below (2, 19.9 shows)
Twist (2, 5.1 shows)
Rift (1, 7.4 shows)
Horn (1, 15.7 shows)
Fast Enough for You (1, 45.1 shows)
Mexican Cousin (1, 75.1 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (1, 28.2 shows)
The Oh Kee Pa Ceremony (1, 42.3 shows)
Sanity (1, 37.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 25% of the actual 24-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.