Trey's Notebook

Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2009-06-14, Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival were:
Limb By Limb (3, 9.9 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (3, 4.7 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (3, 4.7 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (3, 6.3 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (3, 7.3 shows)
Tweezer (3, 4.7 shows)
Bug (2, 10.4 shows)
Twist (2, 5.1 shows)
Water in the Sky (2, 17.8 shows)
NICU (2, 10.1 shows)
Taste (2, 14.7 shows)
First Tube (2, 6.6 shows)
Waste (2, 12.8 shows)
Grind (2, 22.5 shows)
Farmhouse (2, 13.3 shows)
Time Turns Elastic (2, 37.6 shows)
Split Open and Melt (2, 8.8 shows)
Heavy Things (2, 11.5 shows)
Seven Below (2, 19.9 shows)
Contact (2, 32.2 shows)
Lawn Boy (2, 10.6 shows)
I Didn't Know (2, 21.1 shows)
Rock and Roll (2, 9.5 shows)
Fluffhead (2, 7.6 shows)
Piper (2, 5.5 shows)
Birds of a Feather (2, 8.1 shows)
Prince Caspian (2, 7.5 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (2, 5 shows)
Bathtub Gin (2, 4.8 shows)
AC/DC Bag (2, 7.6 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (2, 9.1 shows)
Scent of a Mule (2, 20.5 shows)
Silent in the Morning (2, 11.5 shows)
The Horse (2, 14.7 shows)
The Oh Kee Pa Ceremony (1, 42.3 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (1, 28.2 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 58% of the actual 24-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year Explain!

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