Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2009-06-18, Post-Gazette Pavilion were:
Tube (3, 5.4 shows)
The Moma Dance (3, 4.5 shows)
Foam (3, 20.5 shows)
Ghost (3, 4.5 shows)
The Squirming Coil (3, 11.1 shows)
David Bowie (3, 6.1 shows)
Back on the Train (3, 5.6 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (3, 6.6 shows)
Loving Cup (3, 9.3 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (3, 7.3 shows)
Grind (2, 22.5 shows)
Waste (2, 12.8 shows)
Taste (2, 14.7 shows)
Split Open and Melt (2, 8.8 shows)
Heavy Things (2, 11.5 shows)
Gumbo (2, 11.9 shows)
Cavern (2, 6 shows)
Bug (2, 10.4 shows)
Lawn Boy (2, 10.6 shows)
Water in the Sky (2, 17.8 shows)
Piper (2, 5.5 shows)
Birds of a Feather (2, 8.1 shows)
Julius (2, 7.3 shows)
Undermind (2, 11.1 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (2, 9.1 shows)
Scent of a Mule (2, 20.5 shows)
Contact (2, 32.2 shows)
Maze (2, 6.8 shows)
I Didn't Know (2, 21.1 shows)
Army of One (2, 27 shows)
Fluffhead (2, 7.6 shows)
Twist (2, 5.1 shows)
Frankenstein (2, 42.3 shows)
Seven Below (2, 19.9 shows)
Hello My Baby (1, 225.3 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (1, 28.2 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 38% of the actual 24-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.