Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2009-06-07, Susquehanna Bank Center were:
Chalk Dust Torture (2, 4 shows)
Sample in a Jar (2, 7 shows)
Stash (2, 5.9 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (2, 10.9 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (2, 6.3 shows)
Farmhouse (2, 13.3 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (2, 4.7 shows)
Bathtub Gin (2, 4.8 shows)
Foam (2, 20.5 shows)
David Bowie (2, 6.1 shows)
Tweezer (2, 4.7 shows)
Character Zero (2, 4.5 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (2, 7.3 shows)
Loving Cup (2, 9.3 shows)
Runaway Jim (2, 8.5 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (2, 4.9 shows)
Mike's Song (2, 5 shows)
Reba (2, 7.5 shows)
The Moma Dance (2, 4.5 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (2, 4.5 shows)
Limb By Limb (2, 9.9 shows)
Beauty of a Broken Heart (1, 45.1 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (1, 28.2 shows)
Halley's Comet (1, 7.6 shows)
It's Ice (1, 14.7 shows)
Gumbo (1, 11.9 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (1, 14.4 shows)
Brian and Robert (1, 29.4 shows)
First Tube (1, 6.6 shows)
When the Circus Comes (1, 20.5 shows)
Train Song (1, 30.7 shows)
Rift (1, 7.4 shows)
Undermind (1, 11.1 shows)
All of These Dreams (1, 84.5 shows)
Horn (1, 15.7 shows)
The Oh Kee Pa Ceremony (1, 42.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 39% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.