Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2009-06-06, Comcast Center were:
The Moma Dance (2, 4.5 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (2, 4 shows)
Sample in a Jar (2, 7 shows)
Stash (2, 5.9 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (2, 10.9 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (2, 4.7 shows)
Bathtub Gin (2, 4.8 shows)
Character Zero (2, 4.5 shows)
David Bowie (2, 6.1 shows)
Tweezer (2, 4.7 shows)
Limb By Limb (2, 9.9 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (2, 7.3 shows)
First Tube (1, 6.6 shows)
Back on the Train (1, 5.6 shows)
Brian and Robert (1, 29.4 shows)
Heavy Things (1, 11.5 shows)
Gumbo (1, 11.9 shows)
Mexican Cousin (1, 75.1 shows)
Fluffhead (1, 7.6 shows)
Halley's Comet (1, 7.6 shows)
Beauty of a Broken Heart (1, 45.1 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (1, 28.2 shows)
Lawn Boy (1, 10.6 shows)
Taste (1, 14.7 shows)
Prince Caspian (1, 7.5 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (1, 14.4 shows)
Train Song (1, 30.7 shows)
Sanity (1, 37.6 shows)
Rift (1, 7.4 shows)
Undermind (1, 11.1 shows)
Scent of a Mule (1, 20.5 shows)
Good Times Bad Times (1, 15.7 shows)
Maze (1, 6.8 shows)
She Thinks I Still Care (1, 676 shows)
Horn (1, 15.7 shows)
The Oh Kee Pa Ceremony (1, 42.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 35% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.