Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2003-12-28, American Airlines Arena were:
Waves (12, 13.4 shows)
Walls of the Cave (11, 9.2 shows)
Sample in a Jar (10, 6.6 shows)
Runaway Jim (8, 8 shows)
Bathtub Gin (8, 4.9 shows)
Mike's Song (8, 5 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (7, 15.4 shows)
Free (7, 4.9 shows)
NICU (6, 9.7 shows)
Lawn Boy (6, 10.1 shows)
Carini (6, 5.7 shows)
AC/DC Bag (6, 7.3 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (6, 8.5 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (6, 10.6 shows)
Ghost (6, 4.6 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (6, 20 shows)
46 Days (6, 4.7 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (6, 12.7 shows)
Pebbles and Marbles (6, 22.4 shows)
Two Versions of Me (6, 92.4 shows)
Prince Caspian (5, 7.5 shows)
The Squirming Coil (5, 10.7 shows)
Rift (5, 7.6 shows)
Loving Cup (5, 9 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (5, 7.3 shows)
The Moma Dance (5, 4.6 shows)
Mexican Cousin (5, 49.3 shows)
Secret Smile (5, 82.1 shows)
Llama (5, 17.6 shows)
Reba (4, 7.6 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (4, 6.8 shows)
Heavy Things (4, 11.5 shows)
Round Room (4, 105.6 shows)
Back on the Train (4, 5.9 shows)
Discern (4, 184.8 shows)
Frankie Says (4, 56.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 37% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.