Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2003-12-29, American Airlines Arena were:
Waves (12, 13.4 shows)
Seven Below (12, 14.5 shows)
Walls of the Cave (11, 9.2 shows)
Limb By Limb (10, 8.8 shows)
Character Zero (10, 4.5 shows)
Divided Sky (9, 7 shows)
Taste (9, 12.7 shows)
Bathtub Gin (8, 4.9 shows)
Twist (8, 5.1 shows)
Mike's Song (8, 5 shows)
Runaway Jim (8, 8 shows)
Wilson (7, 6.7 shows)
Free (7, 4.9 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (7, 15.4 shows)
NICU (6, 9.7 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (6, 20 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (6, 10.6 shows)
Two Versions of Me (6, 92.4 shows)
Carini (6, 5.7 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (6, 12.7 shows)
46 Days (6, 4.7 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (6, 8.5 shows)
Lawn Boy (6, 10.1 shows)
Pebbles and Marbles (6, 22.4 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (6, 21.7 shows)
Ghost (6, 4.6 shows)
Rift (5, 7.6 shows)
Secret Smile (5, 82.1 shows)
Mexican Cousin (5, 49.3 shows)
Prince Caspian (5, 7.5 shows)
Dirt (5, 21.7 shows)
The Squirming Coil (5, 10.7 shows)
Fast Enough for You (5, 35.2 shows)
The Moma Dance (5, 4.6 shows)
Heavy Things (4, 11.5 shows)
Simple (4, 7.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 33% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.