Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2003-12-02, FleetCenter were:
Harry Hood (10, 4 shows)
Piper (9, 5.2 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (8, 4.6 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (7, 15.4 shows)
46 Days (6, 4.7 shows)
Lawn Boy (6, 10.1 shows)
Carini (6, 5.7 shows)
Ya Mar (6, 12.7 shows)
Anything But Me (6, 61.6 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (6, 8.5 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (6, 20 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (6, 10.6 shows)
Horn (6, 13.9 shows)
Bug (6, 10 shows)
NICU (6, 9.7 shows)
Birds of a Feather (6, 7.9 shows)
Pebbles and Marbles (6, 22.4 shows)
Water in the Sky (6, 15.4 shows)
Cavern (6, 6 shows)
Loving Cup (5, 9 shows)
The Squirming Coil (5, 10.7 shows)
Mexican Cousin (5, 49.3 shows)
Prince Caspian (5, 7.5 shows)
Rock and Roll (5, 9.1 shows)
Frankenstein (5, 28.4 shows)
Secret Smile (5, 82.1 shows)
Llama (5, 17.6 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (5, 10.4 shows)
Maze (5, 6.8 shows)
Rift (5, 7.6 shows)
The Moma Dance (5, 4.6 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (4, 6.8 shows)
All of These Dreams (4, 49.3 shows)
Round Room (4, 105.6 shows)
Back on the Train (4, 5.9 shows)
Heavy Things (4, 11.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 71% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.