Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2003-12-01, Pepsi Arena were:
Harry Hood (10, 4 shows)
Piper (9, 5.2 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (9, 4.4 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (8, 4.6 shows)
Tweezer (8, 4.7 shows)
Guyute (7, 17.6 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (7, 15.4 shows)
Carini (6, 5.7 shows)
Lawn Boy (6, 10.1 shows)
Ya Mar (6, 12.7 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (6, 10.6 shows)
Anything But Me (6, 61.6 shows)
Stash (6, 5.8 shows)
Water in the Sky (6, 15.4 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (6, 5.2 shows)
Cavern (6, 6 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (6, 8.5 shows)
Birds of a Feather (6, 7.9 shows)
Horn (6, 13.9 shows)
Bug (6, 10 shows)
Possum (6, 4.2 shows)
NICU (6, 9.7 shows)
Rift (5, 7.6 shows)
Rock and Roll (5, 9.1 shows)
The Moma Dance (5, 4.6 shows)
Frankenstein (5, 28.4 shows)
Maze (5, 6.8 shows)
Thunderhead (5, 105.6 shows)
Mexican Cousin (5, 49.3 shows)
The Squirming Coil (5, 10.7 shows)
Prince Caspian (5, 7.5 shows)
Llama (5, 17.6 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (5, 10.4 shows)
Back on the Train (4, 5.9 shows)
Heavy Things (4, 11.5 shows)
All of These Dreams (4, 49.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 47% of the actual 15-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.