Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1999-12-10, First Union Spectrum were:
Guyute (18, 11.6 shows)
Ghost (12, 4.7 shows)
Tweezer (12, 4.8 shows)
Birds of a Feather (12, 7.5 shows)
The Moma Dance (12, 4.6 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (12, 5.2 shows)
Possum (11, 4.3 shows)
Prince Caspian (11, 7.3 shows)
David Bowie (11, 5.7 shows)
Roggae (11, 9.6 shows)
Cavern (10, 5.9 shows)
Stash (10, 5.9 shows)
Harry Hood (10, 4.1 shows)
Runaway Jim (10, 7.7 shows)
Loving Cup (10, 8.2 shows)
Wilson (10, 6.6 shows)
Jam (9, 44.6 shows)
Sample in a Jar (9, 6.5 shows)
Split Open and Melt (9, 8.6 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (9, 9.6 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (8, 7.2 shows)
Axilla (8, 11.6 shows)
Julius (8, 7.6 shows)
When the Circus Comes (8, 16 shows)
What's the Use? (7, 11.9 shows)
Vultures (7, 23.6 shows)
Horn (7, 12.3 shows)
Waste (7, 12.1 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (7, 19.3 shows)
Billy Breathes (7, 32.6 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (7, 33.9 shows)
Poor Heart (7, 14.1 shows)
AC/DC Bag (7, 7.6 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (7, 9.9 shows)
Divided Sky (6, 7.4 shows)
Water in the Sky (6, 14.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 47% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.